This is Don Samuels' COVID19 Cumulative Page

Updated: July 15, 2020 1000 MDT



Data from Arizona, Florida and Georgia can not be trusted due to interference from politicians.

Starting April 26, this page will no longer be the home covid page, but rather the "cumulative" page

New: US data transitioned from Johns Hopkins to New York Times.
Given the lunacy of voting in Wisconsin, I added in Wisconsin to see if there will be a bump 14 to 21 days from April 7

Thanks for reading. Please give me feedback.


For regular readers, please take a look at the Rolling 6 Day average of reported deaths
In addition, if you want to see some of the thoughts behind the visualization, go here to method

Links to quickly scroll to the plot you are interested in:

US
France
Ireland
Sweden

Arizona
California
Colorado
Florida
Georgia
Idaho
Illinois
Iowa
Kansas
Louisiana
Michigan
Minnesota
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
North Dakota
Ohio
Oklahoma
Pennsylvania
South Dakota
Texas
Washington
Wisconsin






This page is to show COVID 19 progression in ways I have not found elsewhere on the web.

The graphs below shows number of deaths of the US and Italy. The US is offset from Italy by the number of days shown in the graph. This allows a possible glimpse into the future of where the US will be by that offset.

The data comes from Johns Hopkins (more on that below)

Exponential line changed from 1.35 to 1.33 which seems to be where the US is.

Here is the US graph:


US not flattening as fast as Italy. Rolling graph here may be better to look at




NY is the US version of Italy. All state graphs will show NY

Here is Colorado, first because that is where I live!!:

Polis has extended lockdown until April 26.

Arizona



California



Florida


Georgia



Idaho

Don't read too much into Idaho, small number of deaths.

Illinois


Iowa


Kansas




Louisiana



Michigan



Minnesota


Missouri


Montana


Nebraska


North Dakota





Ohio


Oklahoma


Pennsylvania


South Dakota


Texas



Washington



Wisconsin

April 7, 2020, day 20 was primary day for Wisconsin

France
(for Dominique)



Ireland vs Italy

Smaller country, trend lower than Italy

Sweden

I added Norway to this plot as some people/organizations believe that the soft lockdown of Sweden is working. Norway is a similar country to Sweden, with half the population, same genetic makeup and has a stronger lockdown in place. It while the delta in the trend here is striking, it shows up even better on the rolling average charts


The Johns Hopkins data is an csv file that can be brought into excel. There is also sql capability.  Unfortunately their field format changes frequently so one has to look at the data today to see if it is in the same format as yesterday in order to chart.

I have chosen to plot total deaths as that number is much more reliable for comparison of countries than "confirm positives". In my stupid state of Colorado, there is for all intents and purposes no testing at all. A number of the positive results that are posted on the Colorado government website are classified positive based on symptoms only, and they do not break out how many are from the Reverse Transcription-Polymerase Chain Reaction test or from symptoms. Deaths, while not 100% accurate should be a more reliable indicator. As the deaths climb, so does the demand on the health care infrastructure.

The Johns Hopkins death data is here (at least as of March 25):

Johns Hopkins csv file for deaths

You can go up a few directories here:

JH Top Directory

and work your way through other data and other visualizations.

Another site I use, which is updated between midnight and 2am London time is here:

Hundley Lag Charts

The Financial Times Chart

https://www.ft.com/coronavirus-latest

Neat graphs out of University of Washington showing peaks by state, and I think updated either real time or daily


University of Washington Modeling

I will add more as I find good ones, and try and update the above chart daily.


Links to my other Covid pages and my home page

Snowedunder home
Covid Rolling Average
Method
Eagle County vs Summit County