Covid 19 main page most of which is a 6 day average of death rate

Updated: July 15, 2020 1000 MDT


Daily US Death Totals (JH)
7/12/20 135205
7/13/20 135566
7/14/20 136466
Same day previous months death totals (JH)
2/29/20 1
3/14/20 58
4/14/20 30780
5/14/20 87008
6/14/20 116382
7/14/20 136466

Data from Arizona, Florida, Georgia can not be trusted due to interference from politicians.

New, June 10, I have animated some of the Colorado data here.

I believe this is the better graphing to tease out trends, however the number of deaths has to be at least 100 before the graph has any meaning. If the number is low, the cumulative page is probably a better graph to look at.

Added more European Countries and more states

Herd Immunity with Sweden still continues to be a popular topic of discussion on parts of the web. Take a jump to Sweden vs Norway to show it is a dangerous concept, with Sweden 9x the daily death rate of Norway (rolling average)

This page is inspired by Kevin Drum of motherjones.com
It shows a 6 day rolling average of the number of reported deaths.
It is per million inhabitants (per Google for population)
Data is now "Days since first death" unless otherwise noted. Data will actually start on Day 6 because it is a six day average.

Methodology for those who are interested is on found here at method


New: US data transitioned from Johns Hopkins to New York Times.
Given the lunacy of voting in Wisconsin, I added in Wisconsin to see if there will be a bump 14 to 21 days from April 7
Also in the lunacy department, on April 18, Florida allowed beaches to reopen, although not all municipalities have followed Jackonsville.

Jump to state/country:

US
Denmark
France
Germany
Sweden/Norway
United Kingdom

States (other than NY)
Arizona
California
Colorado
Colorado Case Data
Florida
Georgia
Idaho
Illinois
Iowa
Kansas
Louisiana
Michigan
Minnesota
Missouri
Montana
Nebraska
New York (without US)
North Dakota
Ohio
Oklahoma
Oregon
Pennsylvania
South Dakota
Texas
Washington State
Wisconsin
 
State Grid (trying this out rather than a long list of states. If the state has an underline, it has a link, if no underline, I have not yet added it).
                    ME
         
      VT NH
WA ID MT ND MN WI
MI   NY MA  
OR NV WY SD IA IL
OH PA NJ CT RI
CA UT CO NE MO IN
WV VA MD DE  
  AZ NM KS AR KY
NC SC DC    
      OK LA TN
AL GA      
      TX   MS
    FL    
HI AK                  



US as a whole has started to trend down on the 6 day rolling average. I removed NY so that the comparison to Italy for the US is easier to see.
US 



For Dominique, Italy vs France

The chart is distorted if I use Day since 1st Death, as France had its first death on "day 1" (obviously) but the next death was not till day 12.  Hence this chart will be offset by 12 days as I think Day 12 should be considered France's start.


Sweden
I put this in because some people think Sweden gets away without social distancing

As of April 9 data the per capita death rate in Sweden is 8.9 times higher than Norway.

Denmark


Germany



United Kingdom




US States

Arizona


California


Colorado



Here is an animated version of the Colorado death:



CO_case
Marina noticed on the Colorado.gov website that the shape of the cumulative cases by date of onset did not change from one day to the next, and thought this might mask the actual significance of the ongoing change. Looking at the plot below, when a date stabilizes, the slope seems to be constant. There is no actual leveling out.




Florida


Georgia



Idaho


Illinois


Iowa


Kansas




Louisiana


Michigan


Minnesota


Missouri


Montana


Nebraska


New York


North Dakota


Ohio


Oklahoma

Oregon - added May 20 for my friend Vlad


Pennsylvania


South Dakota


Texas



Washington


Wisconsin



Cumulative Covid Page
Snowedunder home
Method
Eagle County vs Summit County